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Oscars slugfest 2019: Are Timothee Chalamet, Emily Blunt and Viggo Mortensen at risk of being snubbed? [Watch]

Oscars slugfest 2019: Are Timothee Chalamet, Emily Blunt and Viggo Mortensen at risk of being snubbed? [Watch]
Should Timothee Chalamet be worried about his Oscar chances? After receiving a Best Actor nomination last year for “Call Me By Your Name” he looks like he’s on his way to a potential second bid this year for his supporting turn in “Beautiful Boy.” But as Gold Derby contributors Riley Chow, Rob Licuria, Amanda Spears and I point out in a recent slugfest on the acting races, he might be on shaky ground. Watch our entire video above.

Licuria points out that Chalamet “has been landing the right nominations throughout the season,” including recognition from SAG, Critics’ Choice, BAFTA and the Golden Globes. But that was also true of past contenders like Hong Chau in “Downsizing” (2017) and Daniel Bruhl in “Rush” (2013), who also had the right precursor support but didn’t end up with Oscar nominations. On the other hand, Licuria also notes the “leftover residual love from ‘Call Me By Your Name
See full article at Gold Derby »

5 reasons why ‘Crazy Rich Asians’ could pull off a SAG Awards shockeroo

After the recent revelation that my SAG polling suggests an easy victory for Rami Malek as Best Actor for “Bohemian Rhapsody,” I’ve been asked about results in other categories. Truth be told, I often have limited time when speaking to various SAG members in New York City. They’re often in a rush to get to the subway, an audition, or the next table at the restaurant in which they’re working.

Nonetheless, I’ve done my best to assess SAG votes in the Best Cast in a Motion Picture field. After reading off the names, there’s one response that comes up more than any other.

Can you repeat the choices?

Indeed, many SAG folks are a little baffled by the ensemble nominations. (It’s nice to know that we’re not alone.) They have to think long and hard before making their selection. This makes it pretty
See full article at Gold Derby »

The Oscar stat that could mean trouble for ‘A Star is Born’ in the Best Picture race

The Oscar stat that could mean trouble for ‘A Star is Born’ in the Best Picture race
We are predicting that Bradley Cooper’s remake of the Hollywood classic “A Star is Born” will reap a leading 11 Oscar nominations, including bids for the marquee categories of director, actor, actress, supporting actor, and adapted screenplay. But based on our Oscar odds charts, the film is expected to win just two races, both below-the line: Best Original Song (“Shallow”) and Best Sound Mixing. Were it to also take home Best Picture, that would mean a total haul of just three Academy Awards.

That’s not a horrendous number – plenty of films have won the top prize with that overall result, including “Moonlight,” “12 Years a Slave,” and “Argo.” But what do those three winners have in common?

They all won above-the-line awards along with their Best Picture Academy Awards. All three won Best Adapted Screenplay. “Moonlight” also claimed Supporting Actor for Mahershala Ali while “12 Years a Slave” took
See full article at Gold Derby »

Jack Mathews’ 2019 Oscar nominations predictions: Locks, likely and longshots

Jack Mathews’ 2019 Oscar nominations predictions: Locks, likely and longshots
The strangeness of this Oscar season is that predicting nominees seems easier than ever while identifying the actual front-runners is a bitch.

Even before “Green Book” won the Producers Guild award on Saturday and changed the dynamics of the Best Picture race, it looked like a “pick-em” between “Roma” and “A Star is Born” for the Oscar with “BlacKkKlansman,” “The Favourite,” “Green Book” and even Globe drama winner “Bohemian Rhapsody” charging from behind.

Expect all of those movies to be on the Oscars Best Picture ballot to be announced before sun-up on Tuesday (Jan. 22) and any of them could win at next month’s Academy Awards.

It’s the same in the acting categories. There are no prohibitive favorites like Gary Oldman (“The Darkest Hour”), Meryl Streep (“The Iron Lady”) or Matthew McConaughey (“Dallas Buyer’s Club”) to check off with confidence. Yet, the picture is pretty clear who at
See full article at Gold Derby »

‘Roma’ Wins Nine Prizes From Latino Entertainment Journalists Association

‘Roma’ Wins Nine Prizes From Latino Entertainment Journalists Association
Roma” was the big winner at the Latino Entertainment Journalists Association’s inaugural film awards, picking up a slew of prizes: Best Picture, Director, Actress, Original Screenplay, Production & Set Design, Cinematography, Editing, Sound, and Foreign-Language Film. Alfonso Cuarón’s black-and-white period piece has dominated this side of awards season, taking home top prizes from critics’ groups in Los Angeles, New York, and London, among others.

Also popular among the Leja was “If Beale Street Could Talk,” which won Best Supporting Actress for Regina King, Best Adapted Screenplay for Barry Jenkins, and Best Music for Nicholas Brittell. Full list of winners below.

Best Picture of the Year

Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

Cold War

The Favourite

Green Book

“If Beale Street Could Talk”

Roma

A Star is Born

Vice

Best Achievement in Directing

Bradley Cooper, “A Star is Born

Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma

Barry Jenkins, “If Beale Street Could Talk”

Spike Lee,
See full article at Indiewire »

Will Spike Lee (‘BlacKkKlansman’) be the latest to win a competitive Oscar after receiving an honorary one?

Will Spike Lee (‘BlacKkKlansman’) be the latest to win a competitive Oscar after receiving an honorary one?
It was just three years ago that Spike Lee collected an Honorary Oscar, which is often the academy’s way of rewarding an overdue veteran who hasn’t picked up a competitive prize. But the iconoclastic filmmaker seems poised to return to the awards race in a big way with the hard-hitting “BlacKkKlansman,” which has already earned him nominations from the Directors Guild, the Producers Guild, the Writers Guild and much more. Should Lee win Oscars for writing, directing or producing — or all three — he’d join an elite group of people who have taken home the gold in a competitive race after receiving a career-achievement award.

The last person to do this was Ennio Morricone, the legendary Italian composer who lost five Oscars for Best Original Score — “Days of Heaven” (1978), “The Mission” (1986), “The Untouchables” (1987), “Bugsy” (1991), and “Malena” (2000) — before being handed an honorary statuette in 2007. Several years later, however, he
See full article at Gold Derby »

Does the film with the most other Oscar wins usually take home Best Picture?

Does the film with the most other Oscar wins usually take home Best Picture?
Does the film that wins the most Oscars in other races take home Best Picture, too. And what about the movie with the most nominations? How do they fare in regard to winning Best Picture? I’ve examined the last 20 Academy Awards ceremonies, and here’s what I found out.

Out of the last 20 ceremonies, the eventual Best Picture winner has won the most amount of Oscars on 15 occasions. So 75% of the time, the film that wins the most other awards claims the top prize too. Furthermore, 10 of the last 20 ceremonies has seen the year’s most nominated film go on to win Best Picture. So the amount of nominations is a much less reliable crystal ball than the number of wins.

However, if we take into consideration the academy reverting to a method of preferential voting, which was introduced in 2009, then these figures change slightly. Since it’s now
See full article at Gold Derby »

Which source material is the most likely to bring an Adapted Screenplay Oscar nomination?

Which source material is the most likely to bring an Adapted Screenplay Oscar nomination?
A screenplay could be adapted from many different forms of existing works — everything from a novel or a memoir to a newspaper article. The academy’s ruling also means that remakes/sequels/prequels etc, which all may feature made-up characters and stories, are classed as adapted, too as they are taken from their original films.

Let’s take a look back at the last five ceremonies and examine the source material of the 25 Adapted Screenplay nominees – which type of source material do the Academy prefer? And what does it mean for this year’s potential Adapted Screenplay nominees? Here’s the list of nominees and winners in the category in the last five ceremonies:

2018:

Winner: “Call Me By Your Name” – Novel

The Disaster Artist” – Non-fiction book

Logan” – Comic-book/graphic novel

“Molly’s Game” – Memoir

Mudbound” – Novel

2017:

Winner: “Moonlight” – Play

Arrival” – Short story

Fences” – Play

“Hidden Figures” – Non-fiction book
See full article at Gold Derby »

2019 Oscars scorecard: ‘Green Book’ moves further ahead after PGA Awards Best Picture win

2019 Oscars scorecard: ‘Green Book’ moves further ahead after PGA Awards Best Picture win
Heading into Tuesday’s announcement of the Oscar nominations, “Green Book” widened its lead over the competition with a win at the PGA Awards on Saturday. Let’s take a look at what this key victory by Peter Farrelly‘s film has done to the 35 boxes league table that catalogues nominations and wins at the major precursor prizes leading up to the Academy Awards.

Discuss All the Oscar contenders with Hollywood insiders in our notorious forums

Green Book” still leads with 17 boxes now ticked. The PGA awards only offer the chance of ticking one box, so all the other films remain as they were.

Bradley Cooper‘s “A Star is Born” has underperformed this awards season, with its only above-the-line victory coming at the Critics Choice Awards when Lady Gaga tied with Glenn Close (“The Wife”) for Best Actress. It sits in second, tied with Spike Lee’s “BlacKkKlansman” at 14 boxes apiece.
See full article at Gold Derby »

Green Book wins the PGA. Is Oscar next?

by Nathaniel R

Peter Farrelly accepting the Outstanding Producer for Theatrical Motion Pictures award for "Green Book"

The weekend before the Oscar nominations, Green Book gets another feather in its divisive cap. It took the top PGA prize last night. It was nominated against Black Panther, BlacKkKlansman, Bohemian Rhapsody, Crazy Rich Asians, The Favourite, A Quiet Place, Roma, A Star is Born, and Vice... most but not all of which will transfer to Oscar Best Picture nominations if past statistics hold. In the nine years of the modern Best Picture era (by which we mean 2009 and onward when the field expanded) only three movies have won the PGA that did not repeat at the Oscars: Gravity (2013), The Big Short  (2015), and La La Land  (2016). But it's really only two since Gravity tied at the PGA with 12 Years a Slave (the latter of which did not have to share the Oscar
See full article at FilmExperience »

PGA Gives ‘Green Book’ Another Big Win But There Still Is No Real Front Runner – And Who In Their Right Mind Wants To Be One?

Normally, as Green Book has now done, when a movie starts out the season by taking the top People’s Choice prize at the Toronto Film Festival, launches awards-giving season with a Best Picture win at the National Board Of Review, then backs up its cred by taking the most Golden Globes including one for Best Picture (Comedy/Musical), and then wins the Producers Guild Of America Best Picture honor, you would have to dub it the front runner. That is what several pundits are doing now but it wouldn’t be wise. You could get whiplash trying to discern the “front runner” this season. Just ask early Fr, A Star Is Born, or critics’ Fr Roma, to name two titles that have apparently ceded the honor to Green Book, if the pundits are right.

First of all this isn’t at all a “normal” season and remains perhaps the
See full article at Deadline »

2019 Oscars: ‘Black Panther’ will get 10 Academy Awards nominations, but how many will it win?

2019 Oscars: ‘Black Panther’ will get 10 Academy Awards nominations, but how many will it win?
Black Panther” will get the second most Oscar nominations on Tuesday (January 22). We’re predicting that this blockbuster Marvel movie will reap 10 bids: Best Picture, Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Costume Design, Best Makeup and Hairstyling, Best Production Design, Best Score, Best Song (“All the Stars”), Best Sound Editing, Best Sound Mixing and Best Visual Effects. That will put it just one nomination behind “A Star is Born.”

But how many Academy Awards will “Black Panther” win on February 24? We are predicting that this smash hit will come up short in all but one of its Oscar races: we think it will only win Best Visual Effects.

Black Panther” is all but certain to overcome the academy bias against superhero movies and be one of the nominees for Best Picture. That is certainly an achievement and a honor that was denied to the likes of “The Dark Knight” and all 17 of
See full article at Gold Derby »

Strength in numbers: ‘Black Panther’ would be 14th SAG Awards ensemble champ with 10-plus cast members

Strength in numbers: ‘Black Panther’ would be 14th SAG Awards ensemble champ with 10-plus cast members
When it comes to the Screen Actors Guild Awards’ ensemble category, more is more. Generally speaking, the larger the cast you have, the better. And that could be key for “Black Panther,” which boasts the biggest cast of the nominees this year and would be the 14th film with double-digit cast members to win.

Led by Chadwick Boseman, “Black Panther” has 12 credited actors, compared to nine for “Bohemian Rhapsody,” eight for “Crazy Rich Asians,” seven for “A Star Is Born” and six for “BlacKkKlansman.” Some of these films — ahem, “Crazy Rich Asians,” “BlacKkKlansman” — technically have larger ensembles, but SAG Awards rules stipulate that only actors with their own title card are eligible for the award. The eligible actors are listed on the final ballot, so a block of names staring back at you could be convincing.

In the category’s 23-year existence — it was added at the second ceremony — 13 films
See full article at Gold Derby »

What ‘Green Book’ Winning the PGA Award Means for the Most Competitive Oscars In Years

The Beverly Hilton was packed with Academy voters Saturday, as 10 films were presented as candidates for the Darryl F. Zanuck Producer Guild Award. Going in, the conversation was all about what people didn’t know: No one had any idea which film would win. There was Bradley Cooper’s guild frontrunner “A Star Is Born,” the effectively directorless “Bohemian Rhapsody,” and a pack of deserving and inclusive movies including Alfonso Cuarón’s “Roma,” Ryan Coogler’s “Black Panther,” Spike Lee’s “BlacKkKlansman,” and Jon M. Chu’s “Crazy Rich Asians.”

The movie that answered the question is clearly a popular favorite: Peter Farrelly’s charming ’60s racial drama “Green Book.” While it has stirred controversy since it won the People’s Choice award at the Toronto Film International Film Festival — which often presages the ultimate Best Picture winner — it has delighted audiences ever since.

The 8,000-plus PGA-member producers tend to
See full article at Indiewire »

What ‘Green Book’ Winning the PGA Award Means for the Most Competitive Oscars In Years

The Beverly Hilton was packed with Academy voters Saturday, as 10 films were presented as candidates for the Darryl F. Zanuck Producer Guild Award. Going in, the conversation was all about what people didn’t know: No one had any idea which film would win. There was Bradley Cooper’s guild frontrunner “A Star Is Born,” the effectively directorless “Bohemian Rhapsody,” and a pack of deserving and inclusive movies including Alfonso Cuarón’s “Roma,” Ryan Coogler’s “Black Panther,” Spike Lee’s “BlacKkKlansman,” and Jon M. Chu’s “Crazy Rich Asians.”

The movie that answered the question is clearly a popular favorite: Peter Farrelly’s charming ’60s racial drama “Green Book.” While it has stirred controversy since it won the People’s Choice award at the Toronto Film International Film Festival — which often presages the ultimate Best Picture winner — it has delighted audiences ever since.

The 8,000-plus PGA-member producers tend to
See full article at Thompson on Hollywood »

2019 Oscars: ‘A Star is Born’ will get 11 Academy Awards nominations, but how many will it win?

2019 Oscars: ‘A Star is Born’ will get 11 Academy Awards nominations, but how many will it win?
A Star is Born” will lead with the most Oscar nominations on Tuesday (Jan. 22). We’re predicting that Bradley Cooper‘s remake of this Hollywood classic will reap 11 bids: Best Picture, Director, Actor (Cooper), Actress (Lady Gaga), Supporting Actor (Sam Elliott), Adapted Screenplay, Cinematography, Film Editing, Original Song, Sound Editing and Sound Mixing.

That far outpaces how the first three versions of this film fared at the Academy Awards. The 1937 original starring Oscar winners Fredric March and Janet Gaynor earned seven nominations. Judy Garland‘s lavish 1954 musical version got six. And Barbra Streisand‘s 1976 misfire managed just four.

However, the results of these 17 races are not encouraging for Cooper and company. The 1937 film won just one Oscar in the now-defunct Best Original Story category. The 1954 musical remake was shut-out and the 1976 version claimed just one award: “Evergreen” won Best Original Song for Streisand and lyricist Paul Williams.

See 2019 Oscars: Predictions
See full article at Gold Derby »

2019 Oscars: Predictions ranked in all 24 categories at the 91st annual Academy Awards

2019 Oscars: Predictions ranked in all 24 categories at the 91st annual Academy Awards
A Star is Born” is predicted to lead with the most Oscar nominations on Tuesday morning, racking up a whopping 11 bids. That isn’t surprising given that it has dominated the guild awards, with nominations from 12 of these 13 industry groups (it only missed out with the visual effects wizards). Right behind Bradley Cooper‘s remake of this Hollywood classic will be two very different movies — the Marvel comic book come to life “Black Panther” and the costume drama “The Favorite” — with 10 nominations apiece for the 2019 Oscars.

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While we figure “First Man” will earn nine nominations, we don’t have it pegged as much of a threat for Best Picture, with most of its bids in below-the-line categories. Likewise for “Vice,” which is tipped to get six nominations, including one for the top award. While it will reap several acting
See full article at Gold Derby »

‘Green Book’ win at PGA Awards boosts its Best Picture Oscar odds: Could SAG Awards change that?

‘Green Book’ win at PGA Awards boosts its Best Picture Oscar odds: Could SAG Awards change that?
Green Book” won Best Picture at the PGA Awards on Jan. 19. We know that the Producers Guild of America has previewed a whopping 20 of the last 29 Best Picture Oscar winners including seven of the nine since the academy expanded the category in 2010. So, that must mean “Green Book” is the new Academy Awards frontrunner, ahead of “A Star is Born,” which had been predicted to win this precursor prize, right? Not so fast.

Remember, the guild had gotten it wrong twice in a row before it went with “The Shape of Water” last year. In 2016 “The Big Short” took the PGA award while “Spotlight” went home with the top Oscar. And in 2017 “La La Land” won over the members of the producers guild while “Moonlight” was the academy favorite.

Were those two years the exception or the new rule?

See 2019 Oscars: Predictions ranked in all 24 categories at the 91st annual
See full article at Gold Derby »

Producers Guild Award Goes To “Green Book”

A few hours ago, the Producers Guild of America threw a bit of a monkey-wrench into the awards season works. Giving out their Producers Guild Awards, the top prize went to Green Book, shooting that controversial film to the front of the Oscar race. The PGA voters always catapult their winners towards Best Picture at the Academy Awards, so it was expected that this would occur here too. Well, it probably has, just with a movie that wasn’t the presumptive top tier with producers. Guess that wasn’t the case, so we need to re-evaluate things a bit. I’ll try to make sense of it all below! PGA went with Peter Farrelly’s Green Book over what seemed like more likely choice in Bradley Cooper’s A Star Is Born and Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma. Green Book wasn’t even necessarily considered next in line, as an upset
See full article at Hollywoodnews.com »

Oscars: With PGA Victory, ‘Green Book’ Becomes Best Picture Frontrunner

  • Variety
Oscars: With PGA Victory, ‘Green Book’ Becomes Best Picture Frontrunner
Save for a pair of recent back-to-back discrepancies in “The Big Short” and “La La Land,” the Producers Guild’s Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Theatrical Motion Pictures has been a fairly reliable barometer for the annual Oscar season outcome. At least, ever since both the PGA and film Academy expanded their top categories, sharing the ever mysterious preferential ballot for determining nominees and winners, it’s been safe to say whatever wins the producers’ honor is your best picture frontrunner.

Well, with a victory at the Beverly Hilton Saturday night, Peter Farrelly’s “Green Book” is now your best picture frontrunner.

Universal and Participant Media’s heartfelt race relations drama — which has been through the ringer multiple times this season, weathering criticism that it’s antiquated, that it’s a regressive choice in the year of films like “BlacKkKlansman,” “Black Panther” and “If Beale Street Could Talk,” that it
See full article at Variety »
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